Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.268154 0.315813 0.372505 0.445788 0.539300 0.656449 0.817279
2025-02-02 0.202219 0.261418 0.341522 0.461570 0.643977 0.923836 1.415383
2025-02-09 0.163642 0.225791 0.318065 0.472937 0.744558 1.244192 2.367382
2025-02-16 0.139660 0.202569 0.303028 0.488103 0.855981 1.658885 4.001289
2025-02-23 0.121770 0.183657 0.288391 0.496830 0.958946 2.142845 6.690552
2025-03-02 0.107787 0.167799 0.274334 0.500752 1.053925 2.704667 11.238768
2025-03-09 0.096107 0.153516 0.259522 0.497685 1.131470 3.313710 18.831104
2025-03-16 0.085849 0.139970 0.243126 0.485745 1.180206 3.901731 30.873537
2025-03-23 0.080137 0.133790 0.239914 0.503544 1.329368 5.168448 69.525835
2025-03-30 0.072858 0.123561 0.226364 0.491458 1.376414 6.054493 133.951406
2025-04-06 0.068215 0.117809 0.221313 0.500333 1.507369 7.804164 403.611294
2025-04-13 0.063121 0.110500 0.211553 0.493383 1.575103 9.366825 1338.342694
2025-04-20 0.059696 0.106277 0.208369 0.505675 1.742742 12.622135 25873.730383
2025-04-27 0.057058 0.103380 0.207856 0.526566 1.977527 18.270656 NaN
2025-05-04 0.054318 0.099927 0.205407 0.540808 2.200545 26.165958 NaN
2025-05-11 0.052017 0.097149 0.204174 0.559148 2.477315 39.767037 NaN
2025-05-18 0.049594 0.093820 0.200969 0.569663 2.726788 59.559467 NaN
2025-05-25 0.047176 0.090241 0.196541 0.574382 2.951324 88.705973 NaN
2025-06-01 0.044689 0.086253 0.190419 0.570716 3.114937 127.199858 NaN
2025-06-08 0.042079 0.081744 0.182246 0.556429 3.177785 167.604970 NaN
2025-06-15 0.040818 0.080288 0.182454 0.577738 3.617385 350.336326 NaN
2025-06-22 0.038598 0.076342 0.174973 0.563264 3.681326 499.186513 NaN
2025-06-29 0.037256 0.074405 0.173116 0.573890 4.056720 1156.168342 NaN